Oscar predictions 2014

The day is almost upon us! Excitement! For those who are interested here are my predictions (and wishes) below. In the interests of full disclosure I have indicated the films I have not seen with asterisks (*)

Best Picture
Nominees: The Wolf of Wall Street, 12 Years a Slave, Captain Phillips, Her, Gravity, Nebraska, Dallas Buyers Club, American Hustle, Philomena

Who will win: 12 Years a Slave. It’s won everything else.  Apparently its biggest competition is Gravity which is almost fair enough given that it’s technically amazing and will probably win the most awards overall, but the fact that it’s the only nominee not nominated for screenplay makes me think it would be unworthy. Screenplay makes the movie. If American Hustle wins (apparently the third favourite) I’ll be annoyed. Amazing performances aren’t enough.

Who I want to win: 12 Years a Slave. I’ve actually listed these nominees in order of my favourite to least favourite (but they were all good) and WoWS was in fact my favourite. However, I feel that 12YAS needs to win, because people need to see it. It’s an important film.

Snubbed: The Place Beyond the Pines, Frozen, The Butler
12 years poster
Best Director
Nominees: Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity), Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave), David O’Russell (American Hustle), Alexander Payne (Nebraska), Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)

Who will win: Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity).

Who I want to win: Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave). He would be the first black director to win.

Best Actor
Nominees: Christian Bale (American Hustle), Bruce Dern (Nebraska), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street), Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave), Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Who will win: Matthew McConaughey in the performance of his career. Leo was amazing as well, but I think if he wins it will be because he was ‘due’, rather than because his performance in WoWS was better than McConaughey’s in DBC.

Who I want to win: Matthew McConaughey. He was flawless in DBC and I almost forgot it was him while I was watching. That being said, I’ll be happy for Leo if he wins. The other three nominees are also deserving winners.

Snubbed: Joaquin Phoenix (Her) – just incredible. And Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips) – made tears stream down my face. Matt and Leo were still the best though and there just weren’t enough slots in this category to recognise all the amazing performances.

The frontrunners

Best Actress
Nominees: Amy Adams (American Hustle), Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine), Sandra Bullock (Gravity), Judi Dench (Philomena), Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

Who will win: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine). We all know she’s a lock. The only thing that would stop her from winning would be a backlash against Woody Allen in light of Dylan Farrow’s recent allegations of sexual abuse. But that shouldn’t detract from Cate’s admirers.

Who I want to win: Amy Adams (American Hustle). Purely for sentimental reasons – I love her and she hasn’t won before. I think Meryl Streep is truly the most deserving in this category though.
Cate B
Best Supporting Actor
Nominees: Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips), Bradley Cooper (American Hustle), Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave), Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street), Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Who will win: Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club).

Who I want to win: Jared Leto. He killed it. Everyone in this category was phenomenal though.
Jared Leto
Best Supporting Actress
Nominees: Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine), Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle), Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave), Julia Roberts (August: Osage County), June Squibb (Nebraska)

Who will win: Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave). I am not confident on this one but she seems to be getting the love. Plus the fact that J-Law won an Oscar last year.

Who I want to win: Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle). Because she’s awesome – duh. I would also love it if June Squibb won though because she was hilarious in Nebraska. Any of these amazing ladies would be worthy so give it to anyone.
J-Law Hustle
Best Adapted Screenplay
Nominees: Before Midnight*, Captain Phillips, Philomena, 12 Years a Slave, The Wolf of Wall Street

Who will win: 12 Years a Slave. I’m fairly sure it’s the frontrunner.

Who I want to win: The Wolf of Wall Street… maybe. It was hilarious but I don’t know if that was more to do with the improvisation by the actors.

Best Original Screenplay
Nominees: American Hustle, Blue Jasmine, Dallas Buyers Club, Her, Nebraska

Who will win: Her. It deserves to win and it won the Writer’s Guild Award.

Who I want to win: Her. It was awesome. I don’t think the others come close. Maybe Blue Jasmine but I don’t think Woody Allen should be getting rewarded right now.

Best Animated Feature
Nominees: The Croods, Despicable Me 2*, Ernest & Celestine*, Frozen, The Wind Rises*

Who will win: Frozen

Who I want to win: Frozen. Duh.

Snubbed: Monsters University. It was so good! And way better than the original.
Best Documentary Feature
Nominees: The Act of Killing*, Cutie and the Boxer*, Dirty Wars*, The Square*, 20 Feet from Stardom*

Who will win: The Act of Killing seems to be getting all the buzz. Unfortunately I have not seen any of the films in this category.

Best Foreign-Language Film
Nominees: The Broken Circle Breakdown* (Belgium), The Great Beauty (Italy), The Hunt (Denmark), The Missing Picture* (Cambodia), Omar* (Palestine)

What will win: The Great Beauty. I didn’t get it AT ALL but I’m pretty sure it’s the favourite.

What I want to win: The Hunt. I’ve only seen two of these films but The Hunt was incredible so I’m rooting for it.

Snubbed: The Past (Iran). Absolutely amazing film.
The Hunt
Best Cinematography
Nominees: The Grandmaster*, Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Nebraska, Prisoners

Who will win: Gravity, I assume?

Who I want to win: Nebraska because it’s the only category it has a chance in. And Gravity is probably going to win heaps of others.

Best Costume Design
Nominees: American Hustle, The Grandmaster*, The Great Gatsby, The Invisible Woman*, 12 Years a Slave

Who will win: The Great Gatsby, surely?

Who I want to win: The Great Gatsby. Australia represent! Also, it’s the best.

Best Film Editing
Nominees: American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Gravity, 12 Years a Slave

Who will win: Gravity.

Who I want to win: 12 Years a Slave. The long cuts were amazing. But I don’t really know If that’s the director or the editor.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Nominees: Dallas Buyers Club, Bad Grandpa*, The Lone Ranger

Who will win: Dallas Buyers Club. It was impressive, and surely they won’t give it to a Jackass movie. As for The Lone Ranger, do they just mean the paint on Johnny Depp’s face?

Who I want to win: Dallas Buyers Club.
jared leto make up
Best Original Score
Nominees: The Book Thief (John Williams), Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki), Her (W. Butler & Owen Pallett), Philomena (Alexandre Desplat), Saving Mr Banks (Thomas Newman)

Who will win: Gravity?

Who I want to win: Gravity. It was intense and set the tone really well.

Best Original Song
Nominees: ‘Happy’ (Despicable Me 2*), ‘Let It Go’ (Frozen), ‘The Moon Song’ (Her), ‘Ordinary Love’ (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

Who will win: Let It Go. SURELY.

Who I want to win: Let It Go, Let It Go! Don’t hold it back anymore! But to be honest I do love ‘Happy’ as well. Just don’t give it to U2, please. That would just seem like such a clichéd decision.

Best Production Design

Nominees: American Hustle, Gravity, The Great Gatsby, Her, 12 Years a Slave

Who will win: The Great Gatsby, surely?

Who I want to win: The Great Gatsby. I love Catherine Martin’s work.
The Great Gatsby
Best Sound Editing
Nominees: All is Lost*, Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug*, Lone Survivor*

Who will win: I assume Gravity?

Best Sound Mixing
Nominees: Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug*, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor*

Who will win: Gravity? I still don’t know what the difference between sound editing and sound mixing is.

Best Visual Effects
Nominees: Gravity, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug*, Iron Man 3*, The Lone Ranger, Star Trek Into Darkness

Who will win: Just go with Gravity when in doubt. This seems like the most likely win for it.
Best Animated Short
Nominees: Feral*, Get a Horse!, Mr. Hublot*, Possessions*, Room on the Broom*

Who will win: I’ve only seen Get a Horse! and I’m not confident that that’s the winner. Based on their trailers (I couldn’t find the full films online) Mr Hublot and Feral look the most promising. I couldn’t even find a trailer for Possessions.

Snubbed: The Blue Umbrella (Pixar). It is sooooooo sweet!

Best Live Action Short
Nominees: That Wasn’t Me*, Just Before Losing Everything*, Helium*, Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?*, The Voorman Problem*

Who will win: I hear Helium has the buzz

Best Documentary Short
Nominees: Cave Digger*, Facing Fear*, Karama Has No Walls*, The Lady in Number 6*, Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall*

Who will win: No idea.

The 86th Academy Awards will be broadcast live at 12:30pm Monday 3rd March (Melbourne/Sydney time) and repeated at 9:30pm

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